Current Price Overview and Market Performance

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XRP closed at $2.38 on May 19, with small fluctuations during the day but overall remained stable. In the past week, XRP has outperformed other major currencies, with a cumulative increase of over 3% for the week, demonstrating a certain market resilience. According to CoinMarketCap data, XRP’s current market value exceeds $130 billion, ranking among the top five cryptocurrencies.

This stable and upward trend is largely due to the latest developments in the legal and policy aspects.

Latest Developments in Ripple vs. SEC Case

The lawsuit between Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has been ongoing for three years. Last week, a judge rejected the SEC’s request for a “declaratory judgment” on settlement terms, a ruling that the market interpreted as favorable to Ripple. Ripple’s Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty stated that the ruling is procedural, but several legal experts have pointed out that this outcome may enhance Ripple’s bargaining power in subsequent negotiations.

In addition, the SEC will hold a closed-door meeting on May 22, which is widely believed to potentially involve internal decisions related to the Ripple case. Investors generally expect that this meeting may affect the subsequent ETF approval process and the legal status of XRP.

ETF approval dynamics and potential impact

Currently, multiple institutions including 21Shares, Grayscale, WisdomTree, etc. have submitted XRP-spot ETF applications. The market expects the earliest approval of the ETF to be in mid-June, with Franklin’s XRP ETF decision review scheduled for June 17th. According to the market platform Polymarket’s data, the probability of XRP-spot ETF approval by the end of 2025 has risen to 83%, indicating investors’ optimistic outlook on policy loosening.

Once ETF is approved, it will inject a new channel of funds into XRP, especially the influx of institutional funds, which will provide substantial support for price formation.

Technical Support and Resistance Analysis

From a technical chart perspective, XRP is currently forming a stable support around $2.30, with short-term resistance concentrated around $2.65. If it can break through the high of $2.655 on May 12th, the short-term target may point to the $3.00 integer mark, further challenging the historical high of $3.55 is also not impossible.

MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover, RSI index maintains around 60, indicating that the market has not yet entered the overbought area, and has further upside potential.

Tips and Strategies for Novice Investors

For novice investors who are new to XRP, the following points are worth special attention:

1. Avoid blindly chasing highs: Despite the market sentiment being optimistic, prices may still fluctuate significantly due to legal uncertainties. It is recommended to gradually build positions and control risk exposure.
2. Pay attention to key time points: such as SEC meeting on May 22, ETF approval on June 17, all of which could be price catalysts.
3. Set stop loss: It is recommended to set the short-term stop loss at around $2.20 to prevent losses caused by sudden negative news.
4. Long-term holding requires patience: if the policy continues to improve, XRP has potential for medium to long-term growth, but it still takes time to digest uncertainty.

Conclusion

Although the current XRP price has not yet surpassed its all-time high, with the gradual dissipation of regulatory uncertainties and the accelerating advancement of ETF, the market holds positive expectations for its prospects. For novice investors, the key is to grasp the rhythm, understand the logic, and manage risks well. Whether it is short-term opportunities or long-term layout, XRP is a high-quality crypto asset worth paying attention to.