Analist: Fed'in faiz indirimine 2025'in başlarında ara verebileceğini ima etmesi olası

Gold ten data on December 14, analysts Megan Leonhardt said that despite the lack of progress in curbing inflation in November, federal funds futures show that there is almost a 100% chance that Federal Reserve policymakers will cut the benchmark interest rate by another 25 basis points. The rationale for the rate cut may depend on the Fed officials' desire to keep the benchmark interest rate in line with the current economic conditions, as inflation has fallen sharply from its peak in 2022, and the previously tight labor market is normalizing. But don't be surprised if next week's rate cut is accompanied by Powell's forward guidance, suggesting that the Fed will seek to pause rate cuts early next year. The Fed not only wants to control inflation in the final stage but also many fiscal policy outcomes over the next year may change the direction of inflation. In addition, there are indeed some weaknesses in the labor market that deserve careful observation. All of this poses directional challenges for the Fed in the coming months, and policymakers may avoid taking action at an astonishing pace.

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