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- 📢 Exclusive on Gate Square — #PROVE Creative Contest# is Now Live!
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Dare to trade. Dare to win.
Kalshi prediction market leads financial innovation to create a new model for directly trading event outcomes.
The Rise of Prediction Markets: How Kalshi is Changing the Financial Trading Landscape
Recently, prediction markets are rapidly becoming a new focus in the financial sector. Unlike traditional financial instruments, prediction markets allow investors to trade directly on the outcomes of real-world events. This innovative model is attracting increasing attention.
Kalshi, as the first prediction market platform regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission ( CFTC ), is leading the development in this field. On Kalshi, investors can directly trade the outcomes of various real-world events, including economic data, political elections, sports events, and more. This method of directly trading event outcomes avoids many frictions of traditional financial markets and provides investors with a new way to profit.
The operating mechanism of Kalshi is relatively simple and intuitive. Taking the market "Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by 2026?" as an example, investors can choose to buy contracts for "yes" or "no." If an investor buys a "yes" contract at $0.44, when Bitcoin actually reaches $150,000, each contract can yield a profit of $1. This straightforward mechanism allows investors to directly convert their predictions into potential gains.
It is worth noting that Kalshi offers contracts with multiple time ranges, allowing investors to choose different trading strategies based on their judgment. At the same time, the platform also provides real-time price charts, detailed trading volume, and open interest data to help investors make more informed decisions.
For professional investors, Kalshi offers new hedging tools and profit opportunities. For example, clean energy funds can hedge regulatory risks by trading contracts related to policy outcomes; while industry experts can directly convert their expertise into trading profits.
Recently, Kalshi's collaboration with xAI has brought artificial intelligence into the prediction market. By integrating Grok AI, Kalshi provides users with real-time on-chain data analysis and news interpretation, further enhancing the quality of trading decisions.
Compared to the cryptocurrency-native Polymarket, Kalshi is more inclined to serve traditional financial institutions and regulated markets. This differentiated positioning allows the two platforms to jointly promote the development of prediction markets and meet the needs of different user groups.
As Kalshi's valuation reaches $2 billion and gains more institutional adoption, prediction markets are rapidly moving into the mainstream. For investors, staying informed and adapting to this emerging market will help seize future investment opportunities.