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In the Crypto Assets market, cyclical changes have always been the focus of investors. According to historical data analysis, the peak of the Bitcoin bull run typically occurs in the fourth quarter following the Halving event, a pattern that has been validated in 2013, 2017, and 2021. Based on this inference, the cycle of 2025 is likely to continue this trend.
Although September is usually seen as a sluggish period for Bitcoin, October often performs strongly. Therefore, the recent pullback may provide investors with a better entry opportunity.
Currently, three key factors support the bullish expectations for the fourth quarter market:
First of all, the possibility of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in September is as high as 75%, and this low-interest-rate environment is usually favorable for the performance of risk assets like Bitcoin.
Secondly, cryptocurrency-related companies purchased over 532,000 Ether in the past week, worth over $2 billion, and this continued buying pressure could drive the market upward.
Finally, typical signals of a market top have not yet fully emerged, and the fear and greed index remains at a relatively healthy level, which means there may still be room for market growth.
Regarding investment strategies, there is a viewpoint that suggests considering buying popular tokens on dips at the end of September and gradually taking profits in the fourth quarter. However, when executing any investment strategy, it is essential to focus on risk management, maintain the flexibility of the strategy, and make timely adjustments to respond to market changes.
Regardless, the high volatility of the Crypto Assets market is an undeniable fact. Investors should be cautious when making decisions, fully consider various factors, and formulate suitable investment plans based on their own risk tolerance.