What stage is the bull run currently in???

If we divide it based on the weekly structure, I personally believe that we are now in the second half of the bull run, and it is the mid-phase of the second half of the bull run.
The first half of the bull run is from December 2022 to March 2024. This phase is actually a transition from a rebound to a reversal, and it is also a stage of extreme uncertainty. It is completely normal for everyone to be filled with doubts and confusion about the starting time of the new bull run. It wasn't until early last year, when it surged to 50,000, that the market slowly reached a consensus, believing that now is the new bull run.
From March 2024 to October 2024, it is overall a halftime break after the first half of a bull run. Due to the continuous fluctuations during this phase, especially with Bitcoin, which is approaching a state of a expanding triangle, market confidence has been insufficient. Originally, a large number of people firmly believed that Bitcoin could reach 100,000 or even higher, but amidst the significant market fluctuations, their positions have become uncertain, and many bulls have turned to bearish. The altcoin market has plummeted, continuously fluctuating downwards, leading to a significant blow to retail investors' confidence. Everyone is questioning whether the bull run has ended, and the market is beginning to be filled with a new round of doubts and confusion.
After the halftime break, starting from November 2024, Bitcoin's re-breakthrough of 73777 basically marks the beginning of the second half of the bull run. The main representative of this phase is Bitcoin's continuous crazy rise after breaking through 73777, arriving at 100,000 without much pause. Ethereum smoothly transitioned from a rebound after a decline to a reversal after a drop, while altcoins increased from low positions, generally consolidating at 1 to 3 times. These phenomena basically indicate that the second half of the bull run has begun.
Then in January 2025, the market came to a sudden halt, with Bitcoin dropping from 109,500 to 7,500, and Ethereum falling from 4,100 to 1,350. Most altcoins dropped over 80%. Subsequently, on April 8, the market bottomed out, with BTC rising from 75,000 to 122,000, and Ethereum increasing from 1,350 to 3,900. At this point, many people realized that we had entered the mid-phase of the second half's peak stage, which is the craziest time in the market because the end of a bull run always results in extreme FOMO. Therefore, it is crucial to plan for exiting at the peak.
Making money in the second half of a bull run will be easier, because after the market reaches a certain height, the consensus of the bull run will further strengthen, and the bullish cohesion in the market will become more solid. In this case, all the forces in the market will gather together, and everyone will work towards the same goal, making it easy to see explosive growth. Therefore, during this phase, one should prepare more funds, manage risks well, and then take action, as whether one can make money in the market over the next few years will depend on this wave.
The reason why it is said that we are currently in the mid-term of the second half of the bull run is mainly because the market has just started to show some improvement, and it has not yet reached a stage of unanimous and comprehensive bullish sentiment. Many people are still cautious about the current market, and when everyone stops worrying about potential major pullbacks and no longer fears heights, the market will gradually transition into the later stages of the second half of the bull run. #打榜优质内容#