Technical analysis of the THETA/USDT pair on various timeframes

  1. Identify the main trend of the market Frame 1H: The current price is above the EMA(7, 25, 99), indicating a short-term recovery trend. MACD has crossed above the signal line, supporting the short-term uptrend. Volume has a slight increase, indicating investor interest. 4H Frame: The price is currently touching the EMA(99) area but has not been able to break through completely. MACD has started to show a bullish crossover signal, but it is still weak. OBV is moving up, indicating that the money flow is improving. 1D Frame: The overall trend is still downward, as the price is below all EMA(7, 25, 99) lines. The price has reacted up from the support zone of 0.74-0.75 USDT, but has not yet surpassed the EMA(25) resistance. MACD is still below the 0 line, there is no strong signal of reversal yet. 1W Frame: The long-term trend is still sharply declining from the 3.82 USDT peak. The price continues to lie below the important EMA lines, showing no signs of forming a long-term bottom. Volume decreases, indicating that large funds have not returned. ➡️ Conclusion: Short-term trends (1H, 4H) show signs of recovery but still need to break through important resistance. The mid-term trend (1D, 1W) is still bearish, with no sustainable reversal signal yet. If you want to trade, you should prioritize short-term Long orders but wait for confirmation.

  1. Identify key support & resistance areas Important Support: 0.748 - 0.75 USDT ( has bounced from here, could be a short-term bottom). 0.88 - 0.90 USDT (new support formed, if held can continue to rise). Important resistance: 0.93 - 0.94 USDT is the latest peak of the day, needs to break through to continue rising (. 1.00 - 1.02 USDT psychological resistance + EMA)99( on the 1D timeframe(. ➡️ Conclusion: If the price breaks 0.94 USDT with strong volume, it may test 1.00 - 1.02 USDT. If you can't break through, you may come back to check 0.88 - 0.90 USDT.

  1. Candlestick Pattern & Price Action Analysis 1H Frame: Multiple consecutive green candles appear, indicating increasing buying pressure. 4H Frame: There is a Pin Bar + Engulfing candle near the support area, confirming the recovery trend. 1D Frame: The candle has not confirmed a strong reversal, more data is needed. ➡️ Conclusion: If a Doji or Engulfing Bearish candlestick appears at 0.94 USDT, it could be a short-term reversal signal. If closing the candle above 0.94 USDT with strong Volume, the uptrend may continue.

  1. Technical Indicator Analysis MACD )1H, 4H): Currently crossing up, supporting short-term uptrend. RSI (1H, 4H): Near overbought zone (>70), could soon correct. Bollinger Bands (1H): Price touches the upper band, may have a pullback. OBV & MFI: Money flow shows signs of improvement, but not strong yet. Open Interest (OI): No significant increase, indicating no large inflow of funds yet. ➡️ Conclusion: Short-term: Need to monitor the reaction at 0.94 USDT. Medium-term: There is no strong reversal signal, it may move sideways or continue to decline.

  1. Smart money flow analysis (SMC) There is no sign of Break of Structure (BOS) increase on the 4H, 1D timeframe. There is no Change of Character (ChoCH) clearly, need to wait for more signals. There may be a liquidity grab at the 0.88 - 0.90 USDT area before continuing the trend.

  1. Determine market phases according to the Wyckoff Method 1W Frame: The market is still in the markdown phase (discount). 1D Frame: Showing signs of mild accumulation, but not yet confirmed clearly. 4H Frame: The price is reacting to the support area, which could be a sign of Spring (accumulation).

  1. Proposed trading strategy ✅ If BTC continues to rise: Long may be possible when the price closes above 0.94 USDT with large Volume. Target: 1.00 - 1.02 USDT. Stop Loss: Below 0.90 USDT. ✅ If BTC drops or the price of THETA fails to break 0.94 USDT: Can Short at 0.94 USDT if there is a reversal candle and decreasing Volume. Target: 0.88 USDT or 0.75 USDT. Stop Loss: Above 0.96 USDT. ✅ If BTC sideway: Wait for the price to retest the range of 0.88 - 0.90 USDT to find a short-term Long entry point. Avoid entering orders if the volume decreases. 📌 Note: The long-term trend is still downward, so Long orders should only be short-term. Need to monitor the reaction of BTC to confirm the general market trend. Manage risks tightly, avoid being stopped out by fakeout moves. ➡️ Summary: Short-term: Can go Long if the price stays above 0.90 USDT. Mid-term: Wait for the 1.00 USDT break to confirm the reversal. Long-term: The trend is still downward, with no signs of a solid bottom formation.
THETA-0.84%
CHO-5.15%
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