Conclusion and Probability Prediction ( update )
The analysis conclusion has shifted from "high probability bearish" to "the downtrend is currently in progress." The previously predicted downtrend has been initiated, and all indicators show that bearish strength is continuously increasing.
The probability forecast for the price trend in the next 3 hours (approximately until today at 14:30) is as follows:
* High probability (85%): Accelerated decline
The price will continue its current downward trend with almost no decent resistance. The next and most significant target level is the previous l

Price trend development and probability analysis for the next hour
Overall, the current market presents a very interesting contradictory situation: the technical momentum indicator ( MACD ) is bearish, but the actual liquidity structure of the market ( order book ) shows extremely strong bullish support. In this case, the influence of liquidity (order book) usually outweighs that of the lagging technical indicators.
Main trend: Bottom sideways consolidation under the support of large buy orders.
* High probability scenario (75%): sideways fluctuation, unable to effectively decline.
Due to the

Basic trend analysis of BTC 1-hour Candlestick
Forecast and Probability of Price Movement in the Next 3 Hours
The current market structure has evolved from "breaking resistance" to "solidifying support." Technical patterns show clear bullish continuation signals, but momentum indicators suggest a need for consolidation and accumulation.
Scenario 1 (High Probability: 70%): After a period of consolidation at a high level, continue to test upwards.
* Trend Description: This is the trend that best fits the current technical pattern. The market will continue to accumulate strength within the curre

Price development trends and probability analysis for the next 3 hours
Based on the above indicators, we can draw the following conclusions:
* Main trend judgment: High-level consolidation in an uptrend.
* Analysis Summary: Technical indicators generally point towards bullish sentiment on the 1-hour timeframe, particularly with the formation of the EMA golden crossover, which confirms a short-term upward trend. However, the weakening of MACD momentum and resistance above the order book indicate that the price needs to undergo a period of energy accumulation and consolidation before making a

Future 3-hour trend analysis and probability
Comprehensive assessment:
The market has completed a healthy rhythm of "rising - pulling back - rising again." The pullback confirmed the effectiveness of the support and cleared out the hesitant floating capital. Currently, all technical indicators have been realigned and strongly point towards a bullish trend.
In the next 3 hours, with the opening of the Asian trading session, the upward trend is expected to continue.
* Continuing to rise, challenging the previous main high point ( Probability: ~75%)
* Analysis: Driven by the resonance of tech

Future 3-hour trend analysis and probability
Comprehensive assessment:
The market has given a clear answer: the continuation of a strong upward trend. All previous expectations of pullbacks or consolidations have been invalidated. In the current pattern of bullish control, following the trend is the main approach to analysis.
In the next 3 hours, the price is most likely to exhibit the following trends:
* Continuation of the rise, challenging higher resistance levels ( Probability: ~70%)
* Analysis: A breakout from a consolidation zone usually leads to a period of trending momentum. Driven

Analysis and Probability of Trends in the Next 3 Hours
Comprehensive assessment:
The main features of the current market are: a clear contrast between the primary upward trend on the 1-hour level and the exhaustion signals emitted by various short-term momentum indicators. The pullback signal from the KDJ indicator is very clear, and the weakening momentum of the MACD also corroborates this.
In the next 3 hours, the most urgent task for the market is to fix the overheated short-term indicators, rather than continuing to push upwards aggressively.
In the next 3 hours, the price is most likely t

Future 3-hour trend analysis and probabilities
Comprehensive assessment:
Unlike the consolidation state an hour ago, the market has now provided a clear direction. All key technical indicators (K-line, moving averages, MACD) are highly unified in pointing towards a bullish trend. The successful breakout from the consolidation range has released the accumulated upward momentum, and the market has entered a new upward phase.
In the next 3 hours (until around 6:15 PM), the price is most likely to show the following trends:
* Continuing the upward trend, testing higher resistance ( Probability: ~

Future 3-hour trend analysis and probability
Comprehensive assessment:
The current 1-hour chart shows a healthy consolidation pattern under a bullish trend. The main trend indicators (MA, MACD) are bullish, but the short-term sentiment indicator (KDJ) suggests the risk of a pullback or consolidation. Therefore, the likelihood of an immediate surge or drop is relatively low.
In the next 3 hours (until around 5 PM), the price is most likely to exhibit the following trends:
* High-level consolidation, continuing to form a flag pattern ( Probability: ~60%)
* Analysis: Given the strong support

Rise and fall within three hours

The altcoin season has truly begun.

The copycat season has arrived

In a month, there will be a significant drop in BTC and the entire crypto asset market due to the sharp drop in the stock market. However, during this process, the crypto market and the US stock market began to diverge, and the trend of the US stock market and BTC began to go their separate ways. This process is due to Musk's move, which has turned the trend of BTC to rise and turned the tide, so the US stock market and the crypto market are going their separate ways for a while and are no longer highly synchronized.